Monthly Archives: March 2012

Financial Indicators: A guide to MACD and RSI using Bloomberg Interactive Charts

Accurate and minutely predicting any market movements is impossible in general and particularly so to the common man. Notwithstanding this, there are some pointers available. Fortunately, Bloomberg generously provides several “indicators” that can be used in parallel to the indices, … Continue reading

Posted in Finance, Indicators | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Why Germans should support the Euro: TIBA, not TINA

I wish I had thought of writing this a long time ago, but unfortunately I did not. Hopefully this post will go some way towards providing a long overdue argument for the benefits of EMU membership to Germany. What I … Continue reading

Posted in European Interdependences, European National Politics, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

The Next Euro-Zone Crisis – The “France-Germany-Greece-Portugal” Disconnect in 2012Q3

I recently wrote a series of posts on the political, economic and social risks in Europe. There was a lot of information in it so it took me some time to digest them. Having done so, I have come to … Continue reading

Posted in Risk Scenario Analysis, Sovereign debt Crisis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

Greek default and exit from the Euro-Zone: Is it a Good or Bad idea?

Since the beginning of the Euro-Zone sovereign debt crisis, talk about the pros and cons of a Greek default and of a Greek exit have been abundant. Economists Nouriel Roubini Rogoff and Feldstein are some of the most prominent standard … Continue reading

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Week ahead Calendar – 12/03/2012 to 16/03/2012: Calm waters ahead… for a while at least.

Once again, please find below a list of the eventful days ahead. The main sources are Unicredit’s Weekly Focus, Forex Trading weekly calendar, the EU’s general calendar, the EU’s national issuance calendar and many others,  all of which I advise you to consult directly. I found Unicredit’s … Continue reading

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Weekly Bond Yield developments in the Euro Area (W10.2012): GDP data, ECB rates & Greek Debt Swap

Sovereign debt market developments last week were marked by one main event, the debt Greek debt swap that took place on Friday, March 9. After the hair cuts to Greek debt agreed last week with the IIF, followed by the … Continue reading

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Euro-Zone Sovereign Debt Crisis Scenario Analysis – Quantifying Scenarios’ Risk

This post is based on a previous attempt to peek into the future. Having discussed the economic, political and social risks before EU Member States, as well as their consequences, I now turn my attention to the probabilistic quantification of … Continue reading

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