Tag Archives: Germany

Economic Growth and Military Expenditure: R&D, Consumption, Capture – What Future for Europe?

Before anything else, I want to start by acknowledging the fact that the focus of this article represents a relatively narrow section of what is an enormously interesting, fertile and relevant field of economics with much to contribute to societal welfare and … Continue reading

Posted in Economic Concepts, European History, European Integration, Political Concepts, Visions of the Political Future of Europe | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

German Elections – Voter Intention Polls and FDP Blunders

This post reviews the recent voter intention polls in Germany,  the trends over the last 4 years,  the loss of popularity of the FDP and the pyrrhic success of the Greens.

Posted in Current Events, European National Politics, Sovereign debt Crisis, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

How Will Europe’s Crisis End? And When?

This post is based on a report I wrote some time ago about the future of the Euro-Zone crisis. It is divided in four parts: The first offers a recap of the crisis until May 2013. No details as to … Continue reading

Posted in European Integration, Finance, Risk Scenario Analysis, Sovereign debt Crisis, Uncategorized, Visions of the Political Future of Europe | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Elections in Europe 2013: Calendar and Voter Intention Surveys – France, Greece, Italy, Austria and Germany

In the following lines I provide a brief calendar of the relevant elections ahead. Following this, I summarise the likely outcome of these elections in light of the present and past voter intention surveys. Much will change in the next … Continue reading

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The European Banking Union Negotiations – Supervision

The banking union is a particularly important item in the long term reform agenda of the EU/Euro-Zone, and one that has often been neglected. In a crisis that is characterised by the linkages between public finances and the banking sectors, … Continue reading

Posted in Banking, ECB, European Integration, European Interdependences, Finance, Inflation, Sovereign debt Crisis, Week Ahead | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

On Banking Unions – Concepts, their Status, Proposals & Examples

The point of this post is to summarise existing information about banking unions. This is a very vague term that incorporates several concepts. Therefore clarifying this seems quite timely, in light of ongoing discussions. This is briefly described in the … Continue reading

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Divergence in the Euro-Zone: Famous, Obscure and Predictable Facts

In a previous post about the theory of optimum currency areas (OCA), asymmetric shocks, structural problems and the intrinsic need that this creates for the institution of a fiscal union, I argued that incomplete by monetary unions (i.e.: lacking a … Continue reading

Posted in Economic Concepts, Euro-zone Update, European Interdependences, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

OCA Theory – Asymmetric shocks in the Euro-Zone, Long Term Structural Problems & the need for EU Fiscal Union

As growth has found its way back on the discourse of the Euro-Zone sovereign debt crisis, I take the opportunity to briefly describe the simple model in the back of most (decent) economists discussing the long term structural problems underlying … Continue reading

Posted in Economic Concepts, European Integration, European Interdependences, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Why Germans should support the Euro: TIBA, not TINA

I wish I had thought of writing this a long time ago, but unfortunately I did not. Hopefully this post will go some way towards providing a long overdue argument for the benefits of EMU membership to Germany. What I … Continue reading

Posted in European Interdependences, European National Politics, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment