Tag Archives: Greece

3 Accounts of Euro-Zone Crisis Management

If you are interested in EU integration and if you’ve been following the Euro-Zone crisis for the last 5 years, then last  week would have definitely registered the publication of the following blog post by Peter Spiegel on the FT’s Brussels … Continue reading

Posted in A € for your Thoughts, ECB, European History, European Integration, European National Politics, Finance, Media Coverage, Sovereign debt Crisis, Visions of the Political Future of Europe | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

How Will Europe’s Crisis End? And When?

This post is based on a report I wrote some time ago about the future of the Euro-Zone crisis. It is divided in four parts: The first offers a recap of the crisis until May 2013. No details as to … Continue reading

Posted in European Integration, Finance, Risk Scenario Analysis, Sovereign debt Crisis, Uncategorized, Visions of the Political Future of Europe | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Elections in Europe 2013: Calendar and Voter Intention Surveys – France, Greece, Italy, Austria and Germany

In the following lines I provide a brief calendar of the relevant elections ahead. Following this, I summarise the likely outcome of these elections in light of the present and past voter intention surveys. Much will change in the next … Continue reading

Posted in European National Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

No Early Elections in Germany… But Almost?

In the Summer of 2011 I stuck my neck out and “predicted” early elections in Germany, ahead of the scheduled September 2013 deadline. I was wrong. However, and probably as a consolation gift to myself, I review some a sequence … Continue reading

Posted in Media Coverage, Risk Scenario Analysis, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The Latest Greek Deal – Another Indictment of Intergovernmentalism

This will be a short one about the latest example of the uselessness of intergovernmentalism… So after two failed attempts at finding common ground on Greece on November 13th and on November 20th, the Eurogroup finally came to a provisional … Continue reading

Posted in Euro-zone Update, European Integration, News Round up & Comment, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Divergence in the Euro-Zone: Famous, Obscure and Predictable Facts

In a previous post about the theory of optimum currency areas (OCA), asymmetric shocks, structural problems and the intrinsic need that this creates for the institution of a fiscal union, I argued that incomplete by monetary unions (i.e.: lacking a … Continue reading

Posted in Economic Concepts, Euro-zone Update, European Interdependences, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

OCA Theory – Asymmetric shocks in the Euro-Zone, Long Term Structural Problems & the need for EU Fiscal Union

As growth has found its way back on the discourse of the Euro-Zone sovereign debt crisis, I take the opportunity to briefly describe the simple model in the back of most (decent) economists discussing the long term structural problems underlying … Continue reading

Posted in Economic Concepts, European Integration, European Interdependences, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment