Tag Archives: Hollande

Elections in Europe 2013: Calendar and Voter Intention Surveys – France, Greece, Italy, Austria and Germany

In the following lines I provide a brief calendar of the relevant elections ahead. Following this, I summarise the likely outcome of these elections in light of the present and past voter intention surveys. Much will change in the next … Continue reading

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From Austerity to Growth?

This past week was fascinating to watch. While it is impossible to tell at this time that there has indeed been a shift in the direction of European policy, it is evident that at least there’s been a momentary shift … Continue reading

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Elections in May – Greece & France

A week away from the French and Greek polls, what is it looking like? Very similar to previous observations…

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French Presidential Election update: Voter intention Polls on 10 April 2012

With the first round of the French presidential election looming only 2 weeks away, I thought it would be interesting to have a look at the state of voter intention polls and what they mean for the result of the … Continue reading

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The Next Euro-Zone Crisis – The “France-Germany-Greece-Portugal” Disconnect in 2012Q3

I recently wrote a series of posts on the political, economic and social risks in Europe. There was a lot of information in it so it took me some time to digest them. Having done so, I have come to … Continue reading

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European Risk Scenario Analysis – Politics, Economics and Social Risks

This post introduces an exercise in Risk Scenario Analysis (RSA), about the future of the Euro-Zone. It introduces the main fragilities in the currency union and discusses them in some detail. The temporal focus of this post is on the … Continue reading

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