Tag Archives: Sovereign Debt Crisis

How Will Europe’s Crisis End? And When?

This post is based on a report I wrote some time ago about the future of the Euro-Zone crisis. It is divided in four parts: The first offers a recap of the crisis until May 2013. No details as to … Continue reading

Posted in European Integration, Finance, Risk Scenario Analysis, Sovereign debt Crisis, Uncategorized, Visions of the Political Future of Europe | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

ECB Market Intervention: The Securities Market Programme (SMP)

Update: As of September 6th, 2012, the SMP was discontinued and the assets held in its accounts were transferred assimilated by the Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT) accounts. For a preliminary assessment of the OMT, please check this blog post. Otherwise, … Continue reading

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Weekly Bond Yield developments in the Euro Area (W8.2012): SMP, Greek bailout, PMIs,noise, forecasts and Italian Debt auctions

Sovereign debt market developments this week were marked by 6 main events: The ECB’s first week without purchases under the SMP (on Monday) The achievement of a deal for the second bailout package for Greece, between Monday and Tuesday The … Continue reading

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ECB: Monetary Policy Transmission – Interest Rate Channel System, Reserves & the Interbanking Market

Having looked at the tools available to the ECB and at its balance sheet, after considering financial market failures due to Fractional Reserve Banking, overlending and VaR, I would like to turn my attention to the actual operation of monetary … Continue reading

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ECB Balance Sheet: Composition, Scope and Limits

Having considered some of the inner workings of how commercial and investment banking works from the point of view of (1)Banking intermediation, Fractional Reserve Banking and Bank runs, (2) Asymmetries of Information, Overlending and the Output gap, and  (3) Leverage … Continue reading

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Week Ahead Calendar: 27/01/2012 to 03/02/2012 – Schedules and Optimism

Once again, please find below a list of the eventful days ahead. The main sources are Unicredit’s Weekly Focus, Forex Trading weekly calendar, the EU’s general calendar, the EU’s national issuance calendar and many others,  all of which I advise you to consult directly. I found … Continue reading

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Weekly Bond Yield developments in the Euro Area (W4.2012): Greece Negotiations and Portuguese Yields

In the week that that passed the Euro-Zone economy was marked by an emphasis (of the media and of analysts) on positive data releases, both in Europe and in the USA. On the down side, fruitless Greek PSI negotiations caused … Continue reading

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Market Volatility: with thanks to True Economics

True Economics, has very interesting charts of 3-sigma-plus stock market volatility accross the UK, France, Germany, the US and world stock markets. To argue that the ongoing period of volatility represents a repricing of stock markets, associated with the financial … Continue reading

Posted in A € for your Thoughts, Aides Memoire, Economic Concepts, Sovereign debt Crisis | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Portuguese Labour Market Reforms: The Table of Contents

The Portuguese Government reached a “Growth, Competitiveness and Employment Compromise” today with social partners (employers and employee organisations). The daily “Sol” made a copy of the text available online, in Portuguese. Labour market reform is extremely important for the recovery … Continue reading

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Euro Update(31): Rating cuts, trade surplus, new orders, SGP and ECB

Rating Cuts So as you must know by now, S&P lowered the sovereign debt rating of 10 Euro-zone countries on January 13. This included France, Austria, Italy and Spain. It will be interesting to see what this will mean for … Continue reading

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