Tag Archives: China

Economic Growth and Military Expenditure: R&D, Consumption, Capture – What Future for Europe?

Before anything else, I want to start by acknowledging the fact that the focus of this article represents a relatively narrow section of what is an enormously interesting, fertile and relevant field of economics with much to contribute to societal welfare and … Continue reading

Posted in Economic Concepts, European History, European Integration, Political Concepts, Visions of the Political Future of Europe | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

How Income Inequality Leads to and Supports Political Capture

As can be seen in posts pondering the past, present and or future nature of the Chinese, Brazilian or Ancient Roman political economy, capture is inevitably a recurring theme in my analyses. More specifically, I have recently found myself leaning … Continue reading

Posted in Aides Memoire, Political Concepts, Risk Scenario Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The Chinese Real Estate Bubble – National Accounts, Balance Sheet and (some) Evidence

I know that this is completely outside of the purview of this website. The only argument I can offer is that if and when China cools down it matters to everyone and thus, assuming that there’s no fallacy of division, … Continue reading

Posted in Economic Concepts, Uncategorized, World Affairs | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Euro-Zone Sovereign Debt Crisis Scenario Analysis – Quantifying Scenarios’ Risk

This post is based on a previous attempt to peek into the future. Having discussed the economic, political and social risks before EU Member States, as well as their consequences, I now turn my attention to the probabilistic quantification of … Continue reading

Posted in Risk Scenario Analysis, Sovereign debt Crisis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

News Round up and Comment – 09/03/2012

11 interesting news trends today: Greece seems to have achieved a 95.7% participation rate in the public debt PSI. This means that 95.7% of the total (€206 Bn) privately held Greek public debt will suffer a haircut of 53% and … Continue reading

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Jp¥-€-US$-Cn¥ monetary axis

Barry Eichengreen has recently published a book called “The Exorbitant Priviledge“, about the rise and fall of the US$’s priviledged role in world economic affairs, its coming fall from grace and what it means to the USA and to the … Continue reading

Posted in Banking, Current Events | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment