Tag Archives: EU

Italian Debt, Mutual Insurance, Fiscal Federalism and Fiscal Rules – Brugel blog posts

As I mentioned earlier, in a very delayed reaction to a comment on European blogging, I’ve decided to start looking around at what other bloggers write and comment on it, while hopefully not neglecting to come up with my own … Continue reading

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EU Budget – Apparently a Fight Cameron can Call a Win

So I’ve been away for the weekend and swamped in work since last Wednesday. However, not to renege on my pledge to post at least once a week (and having already missed my self-imposed Friday deadline), I’ve decided to post … Continue reading

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How Will Europe’s Crisis End? And When?

This post is based on a report I wrote some time ago about the future of the Euro-Zone crisis. It is divided in four parts: The first offers a recap of the crisis until May 2013. No details as to … Continue reading

Posted in European Integration, Finance, Risk Scenario Analysis, Sovereign debt Crisis, Uncategorized, Visions of the Political Future of Europe | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Week ahead Calendar – 02/04/2012 to 06/04/2012: Spanish Auction Fears, PMIs and ECB Council Meeting

Once again, please find below a list of the eventful days ahead. The main sources are Unicredit’s Weekly Focus, Forex Trading weekly calendar, the EU’s general calendar, the EU’s national issuance calendar and many others,  all of which I advise you to consult directly. I found Unicredit’s … Continue reading

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Why Germans should support the Euro: TIBA, not TINA

I wish I had thought of writing this a long time ago, but unfortunately I did not. Hopefully this post will go some way towards providing a long overdue argument for the benefits of EMU membership to Germany. What I … Continue reading

Posted in European Interdependences, European National Politics, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Euro-Zone Sovereign Debt Crisis Scenario Analysis – Quantifying Scenarios’ Risk

This post is based on a previous attempt to peek into the future. Having discussed the economic, political and social risks before EU Member States, as well as their consequences, I now turn my attention to the probabilistic quantification of … Continue reading

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Jp¥-€-US$-Cn¥ monetary axis

Barry Eichengreen has recently published a book called “The Exorbitant Priviledge“, about the rise and fall of the US$’s priviledged role in world economic affairs, its coming fall from grace and what it means to the USA and to the … Continue reading

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