Monthly Archives: September 2012

The week ahead – 25.09.2012 – 05.10.2012

Posted on September 30, 2012 by fmpdea

Here are the events for the coming week, with many thanks to Unicredit and to KBC, where you can find plenty of research, reviews of past events, and forecasts. There will be PMIs a-plenty to scare markets after the Spanish … Continue reading →

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Will Catalonia Become Independent Soon?

Posted on September 29, 2012 by fmpdea

My answer to the question is no. Eventually I think it will, but not soon. Here’s why:

Posted in Current Events, European Integration, European National Politics, Risk Scenario Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 15 Comments

Visions of the Political Future of Europe: Reviewing Draghi’s Opinion

Posted on September 25, 2012 by fmpdea

This is the first in a series of posts about the future of Europe as envisaged by European leaders. It starts with the perspective offered by Mario Draghi, because it would appear to me that his was the first one … Continue reading →

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Introducing the “Visions of the Political Future of Europe” Series

Posted on September 25, 2012 by fmpdea

Some of the posts on this website try to offer rather technical economic and political descriptions of the dynamics driving political economies. Others have attempted to provide a review of recent events. There have been scenario analyses, quantified scenario analysis, … Continue reading →

Posted in A € for your Thoughts, European Integration, Visions of the Political Future of Europe | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Euro-Zone Banking Union: Coverage and Pace of Implementation

Posted on September 19, 2012 by fmpdea

This post considers the present debate about the coverage of the Banking Union to be created in the Euro-Zone as well as the pace of its implementation. This coverage is contentious because it affects many established interests while attempting to … Continue reading →

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ECB Market Intervention: Outright Monetary Transactions (“OMT”) – A Preliminary Assessment

Posted on September 9, 2012 by fmpdea

Last Thursday, September 6th, the ECB introduced its new goverment bond purchasing programme, known as the Outright Monetary Transactions (“OMT”). If you are interested in getting the information from the lion’s mouth, you can watch the press conference here,read its transcript here and get the … Continue reading →

Posted in ECB, Euro-zone Update, Sovereign debt Crisis | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments

Moral Hazard: Labour Market & Insurance

Posted on September 4, 2012 by fmpdea

“Moral Hazard” is a very fashionable concept that has been thrown around a lot since 2007/08 as a result of bad practices by bankers. It is also a common place in discussions of central Bank’s intervention, the Debt Monetisation risks … Continue reading →

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September 12th (2012) Elections in the Netherlands: Voter Intention Surveys

Posted on September 2, 2012 by fmpdea

So the Netherlands are getting ready to hold elections. This is post offers a quick description of the competing platforms and, drawing on the most recent voter intention surveys, provides a brief overview of the likely electoral outcomes. Readers should … Continue reading →

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