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Category Archives: Current Events
Brexit: Opinions of its effects from Leavers and Remain
As the title of this post would suggest, I’m solely interested in listing and summarising the views of the different sides of the public debate. This post is divided in 5 sections: What Remain says will happen if there’s a … Continue reading
Posted in Current Events, UK
Tagged BREXIT, Brexit Predictions, EU Referendum, Experts, FT, Great Britain, IMF, Michael Gove, OECD, Prediction, the Economist, UK, UK Treasury
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American & Russian pressures build momentum towards a European army
Every-so-often, discussions emerge regarding the need of establishing a European army. This is an idea as old as post-WWII European integration and the European Defence Community proposed in 1952 that died with the 1954 veto of the European Political Community. Beyond the … Continue reading
A New Phase in Euro-Zone Crisis – Zero Coupon Perpetuities for Greece?
I don’t have an enormous amount of time to consider the implications of the Greek election yesterday in a tremendous amount of detail. So the following are my thoughts, disorganised and potentially incoherent.
Je Suis Charlie
All the cartoons they don’t like. Because freedom of expression, that’s why! If you think they had it coming you are one of those people who thinks women (or any other minority for that sake) deserve to be raped (or … Continue reading
EU Budget – Apparently a Fight Cameron can Call a Win
So I’ve been away for the weekend and swamped in work since last Wednesday. However, not to renege on my pledge to post at least once a week (and having already missed my self-imposed Friday deadline), I’ve decided to post … Continue reading
Posted in Current Events, European National Politics, Uncategorized
Tagged Cameron, EU, EU Budget 2014, Osborne, Political Theater, UK
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2014 European Parliament Election Review – It’s not the end of the world…
Following last Sunday’s European Parliament election the press has been gloomy and for a time, so was I. This is a quick post to see the forest and the trees and to consider “how much wood can these wood chucks … Continue reading
Posted in Current Events, European Integration, Media Coverage, Visions of the Political Future of Europe
Tagged Alain Juppe, Current Account Balance, Draghi, Economics and politics, Euro-zone, European Parliament Elections, European Parliament Elections 1979, European Parliament Elections 1984, European Parliament Elections 1989, European Parliament Elections 1994, European Parliament Elections 1999, European Parliament Elections 2004, European Parliament Elections 2009, European Parliament Elections 2014, European Union, Euroscepticism, Farage, Fiscal Multipliers, France, Front National, GDP growth, Hollande, Labour Party, MBS, OCA, Optimum Currency Area, political economy, Popularity of politicians, PS, QE, Sarkozy, Trade balance, UK, UKIP, UMP, Valls, Voter intention polls
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A note on the Feasibility ECB Quantitative Easing
Recent comments from the ECB about potential attempts to mitigate a decrease in inflation through QE have led to an increased interest in the articles posted on this website about the SMP and the CBPP. However, such interventions were pursued for different … Continue reading
Posted in Current Events, ECB, Euro-zone Update, Inflation, Sovereign debt Crisis
Tagged CBPP, Draghi, ECB, Euro-zone, Euro-zone divergence, Inflation, LTRO, OMT, QE, Quantitative Easing, SMP, Sterilisation of ECB OMOs, Target2
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German Elections – Voter Intention Polls and FDP Blunders
This post reviews the recent voter intention polls in Germany, the trends over the last 4 years, the loss of popularity of the FDP and the pyrrhic success of the Greens.
Posted in Current Events, European National Politics, Sovereign debt Crisis, Uncategorized
Tagged CDU, CSU, Euro-Zone Sovereign Debt Crisis, FDP, German Elections 2013, Germany, Greens, Japan Tsunami 2011, March 2011 Regional Elections Germany, Merkel, SPD, Voter intention polls, Voter intention surveys
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Why I think the ECB is not about to cut the MRO rate
On Thursday May 2nd, the Governing Council of the ECB will hold is monthly meeting to determine the path of monetary policy. The market consensus seems to be that the ECB will cut the refi rate (MRO rate). I disagree. … Continue reading
Posted in Banking, Current Events, ECB, Euro-zone Update, Finance, Media Coverage
Tagged Asmussen, Bank Lending Survey, Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission, Coeure, Constancio, Current Account at ECB, Deposit Facility, Draghi, ECB, ECB Balance Sheet, EONIA, GDP, Inflation, LTRO, M3, Marginal Lending Facility, Mersch, MRO, MRO rate cut, PMIs, Praet, refi rate cut, Target2, TARGET2 imbalances, Weidmann
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Where you can find me these days
As expected, I have moved to fresher pastures. I have been the Economics Editor at sister publications NordSIP and Ekonamik since the beginning of January 2019 and want to invite you to check out our content. Both publications are focused … Continue reading →