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Monthly Archives: April 2012
Coming up: Economic Data, Political Meetings, Sovereign Debt Auctions & Elections
Please find below 5 tables with information about the relevant events coming our way. The first 2 tables shows the calendar of 2012Q2 scheduled sovereign debt (bonds &bills) auctions, as provided by provided by the Sub-Committee on EU Sovereign Debt Markets of … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Calendar 2012Q2, Sovereign bills, Sovereign bonds, Sovereign debt, Week Ahead
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From Austerity to Growth?
This past week was fascinating to watch. While it is impossible to tell at this time that there has indeed been a shift in the direction of European policy, it is evident that at least there’s been a momentary shift … Continue reading
Elections in May – Greece & France
A week away from the French and Greek polls, what is it looking like? Very similar to previous observations…
Posted in Current Events
Tagged Elections, France, French Elections 2012, French Presidential Election 2012, French Presidential elections second round, French voter intention surveys, Greece, Greek May 6 2012 elections, Greek voter intention surveys, Hollande, ND, New Democracy, PASOK, Politics, Sarkozy
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Revisiting and correcting my comments on Spanish financing conditions – Primary Market Conditions and CDSs
So I noticed I had made some embarrassing mistakes on my post about recent developments in the Spanish Sovereign debt market. However, while looking for an alternative illustration of Spanish woes, and blatantly engaging in confirmation bias, I came across … Continue reading
Posted in Sovereign debt Crisis
Tagged 5 year CDSs, Adjudicated amounts, Ammounts bidded, Bid-to-Cover Ratios, Corrections, Italian CDSs, Italian Credit Default Swaps, Italy, Primary Market for Spanish Sovereign Debt, Solicited amounts, Sovereign debt crisis in Spain April 2012, Sovereign debt crisis in Spain March 2012, Spain, Spain Sovereign Debt Auctions, Spanish CDSs, Spanish Credit Default Swaps
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Economic Concepts: No-Arbitrage Condition and Interest Rate Parity
This post briefly discusses the issues of arbitrage and interest rate parity. The insights summarised below are extremely useful in international economics. They are crucial to understanding the Mundell–Flemming Model of international economics, particularly in understanding the trilemma of international … Continue reading
Greek elections Rumoured for May 6, 2012: Voter intention Polls and expectations – A Destroyed System
Update: You can find an update to the Greek surveys described below, as well as other information, here. Market News International, the financial news outlet of Deutsche Boerse reported today (April 11, 2012) that an unnamed government source had leaked the … Continue reading
French Presidential Election update: Voter intention Polls on 10 April 2012
With the first round of the French presidential election looming only 2 weeks away, I thought it would be interesting to have a look at the state of voter intention polls and what they mean for the result of the … Continue reading
Posted in Current Events
Tagged France, French Legislative Election 2012, French Presidential Election 2012, French voter intention surveys, Hollande, Hollande Presidential Programme 2012, Hollande Sarkozy 2012 Presidential Programme Comparison, Sarkozy, Sarkozy Presidential Programme 2012, Voter intention polls, Voter intention surveys
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What’s going on in Spain? – Demand shocks, hysteria and forgetting the ECB
UPDATE (13/04/2012): While the overall tone of this post holds, in the view of its author, there are some errors that were identified an addressed in a followup post. You are highly recommended to read these. The relevant sections are … Continue reading
Posted in Risk Scenario Analysis, Sovereign debt Crisis
Tagged ECB, EUREPO, EURIBOR, Game of Chicken, Liquidity demand, Liquidity shocks, Liquidity supply, Mariano Rajoy, Monetary intervention, Sovereign debt crisis in Spain April 2012, Sovereign debt crisis in Spain March 2012, Sovereign debt Yields, Spain, Spanish Eurepo, Spanish Euribor, Spanish Financial sector assets, Spanish public deficit, Spanish sovereign debt, Spanish Sovereign debt yields
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Week ahead Calendar – 02/04/2012 to 06/04/2012: Spanish Auction Fears, PMIs and ECB Council Meeting
Once again, please find below a list of the eventful days ahead. The main sources are Unicredit’s Weekly Focus, Forex Trading weekly calendar, the EU’s general calendar, the EU’s national issuance calendar and many others, all of which I advise you to consult directly. I found Unicredit’s … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized, Week Ahead
Tagged Bonds, Calendar, Debt, ECB, ECB Governing Council Meeting, ECB meeting, EMU, EU, Euro, Euro-zone, eurozone, Monetary Policy, MRO, PMIs, Policy rates, Sovereign bonds, Sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Bond auctions, Spain, Week Ahead
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Weekly Bond Yield developments in the Euro Area (W13.2012): Spain and EFSF/ESM reform – But what about Italy?
Once again, please find below the most recent developments in selected Euro-Zone sovereign bond markets. You may notice that there’s a change from previous versions. For the sake of facilitating the comparison across maturities these are all presented in the … Continue reading
Posted in Weekly Bond Yield developments in the Euro Area
Tagged Bonds, ECB, EFSF, ESM, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Spain
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