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Category Archives: Media Coverage
2014 European Parliament Election Review – It’s not the end of the world…
Following last Sunday’s European Parliament election the press has been gloomy and for a time, so was I. This is a quick post to see the forest and the trees and to consider “how much wood can these wood chucks … Continue reading
Posted in Current Events, European Integration, Media Coverage, Visions of the Political Future of Europe
Tagged Alain Juppe, Current Account Balance, Draghi, Economics and politics, Euro-zone, European Parliament Elections, European Parliament Elections 1979, European Parliament Elections 1984, European Parliament Elections 1989, European Parliament Elections 1994, European Parliament Elections 1999, European Parliament Elections 2004, European Parliament Elections 2009, European Parliament Elections 2014, European Union, Euroscepticism, Farage, Fiscal Multipliers, France, Front National, GDP growth, Hollande, Labour Party, MBS, OCA, Optimum Currency Area, political economy, Popularity of politicians, PS, QE, Sarkozy, Trade balance, UK, UKIP, UMP, Valls, Voter intention polls
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Why I think the ECB is not about to cut the MRO rate
On Thursday May 2nd, the Governing Council of the ECB will hold is monthly meeting to determine the path of monetary policy. The market consensus seems to be that the ECB will cut the refi rate (MRO rate). I disagree. … Continue reading
Posted in Banking, Current Events, ECB, Euro-zone Update, Finance, Media Coverage
Tagged Asmussen, Bank Lending Survey, Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission, Coeure, Constancio, Current Account at ECB, Deposit Facility, Draghi, ECB, ECB Balance Sheet, EONIA, GDP, Inflation, LTRO, M3, Marginal Lending Facility, Mersch, MRO, MRO rate cut, PMIs, Praet, refi rate cut, Target2, TARGET2 imbalances, Weidmann
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No Early Elections in Germany… But Almost?
In the Summer of 2011 I stuck my neck out and “predicted” early elections in Germany, ahead of the scheduled September 2013 deadline. I was wrong. However, and probably as a consolation gift to myself, I review some a sequence … Continue reading
Posted in Media Coverage, Risk Scenario Analysis, Uncategorized
Tagged Angela Merkel, Antagonism to Greece, bailout, CDU, Debt haircut, Euro-Zone Sovereign Debt Crisis, FDP, German attitudes to Greece, German Elections 2013, German Politics, Greece, Greek bailout, Haircut, Horst Seehofer, Mario Draghi, OMT, OMTs, Outright Monetary Transactions, Patrick Doering, Peter Ramsauer, Philipp Roesler, Rainer Bruederle, Summer 2012, Volker Kauder, Voter intention polls, Voter intention surveys
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Euro Update (19): Bruegel on Banking and Sovereign Debt
I’ve decided to take a break, but as if to taunt me it seems people have decided to write more interesting things… More on that break later. For now I’d like to bring your attention to a group of articles … Continue reading
Controlling the Economy: Discourse and Reality
I must admit that the discussion by Mr Munchau of the recent developments in the ongoing debate about European competitiveness struck a chord with me. As I said previously, it wasn’t because I agree that “to think that Europe can … Continue reading
Posted in Current Events, Media Coverage
Tagged EU Military, France, Governance, Policy inefficiency, Statism
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A € for your Thoughts (3): Mr Bini Smaghi on European Fiscal Union
Mr Bini Smaghi gave a speech in Hall, Germany, on February 14. His St. Valentines gift to Europe is interesting and much more complicated than this comment from the FT’s money supply leads us to believe. Honestly, I am not … Continue reading
Euro Update (16): Mario Monti and the feckless Franco-German Pact for Competitiveness
From left to right, the last panel at yesterday’s Policy Network “What future for Europe?” event was a gathering of eminences. Sitting in a row, Nadia Calvino, Lazlo Andor, Vince Cable, Peter Mandelson, Mario Monti and Dieter Helm took their … Continue reading
Euro Update (15): Worsening Portuguese debt situation and sneaky debt auctions
I’ve mentioned that Portugal would need to access international markets sometime soon, in order to finance itself. I’ve been painting a doomsday scenario about it. In my view all Portugal needs is for market jittery to be timed with one … Continue reading
Posted in Banking, ECB, Euro-zone Update, Media Coverage, Sovereign debt Crisis
Tagged ECB, Portugal, Sovereign Debt Crisis
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Where you can find me these days
As expected, I have moved to fresher pastures. I have been the Economics Editor at sister publications NordSIP and Ekonamik since the beginning of January 2019 and want to invite you to check out our content. Both publications are focused … Continue reading →