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Monthly Archives: January 2013
Elections in Europe 2013: Calendar and Voter Intention Surveys – France, Greece, Italy, Austria and Germany
In the following lines I provide a brief calendar of the relevant elections ahead. Following this, I summarise the likely outcome of these elections in light of the present and past voter intention surveys. Much will change in the next … Continue reading
Posted in European National Politics
Tagged 2013. Austrian Elections 2013, Beppe Grillo, Berlusconi, Bulgaria, Calendars, CDU, Czech Republic, Der Linke, Elections, FDP, France, Germany, Greece, Hollande, Italy, Lithuania, Merkel, Monti, New Democracy, Papademos, PASOK, Pirate Party, Slovakia, Slovenia, SPD, Voter intention polls, Voter intention surveys
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The UK Referendum on EU Membership: Narrative, Economic Realities and Political Ambitions
As the the British Prime Minister is on the verge of announcing a referendum on continued UK membership of the EU, this post considers the narrative surrounding this issue and concludes that despite the arguments in favour or against, voter … Continue reading
Posted in European Integration, European Interdependences, European National Politics
Tagged Anders Borg, Boris Johnson, David Cameron, EU Referendum, Finance, Finland, International intergration, Netherlands, Referendum on UK Membership of the EU, Sweden, Trade, UK, UK interdependences with EU
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No Early Elections in Germany… But Almost?
In the Summer of 2011 I stuck my neck out and “predicted” early elections in Germany, ahead of the scheduled September 2013 deadline. I was wrong. However, and probably as a consolation gift to myself, I review some a sequence … Continue reading
Posted in Media Coverage, Risk Scenario Analysis, Uncategorized
Tagged Angela Merkel, Antagonism to Greece, bailout, CDU, Debt haircut, Euro-Zone Sovereign Debt Crisis, FDP, German attitudes to Greece, German Elections 2013, German Politics, Greece, Greek bailout, Haircut, Horst Seehofer, Mario Draghi, OMT, OMTs, Outright Monetary Transactions, Patrick Doering, Peter Ramsauer, Philipp Roesler, Rainer Bruederle, Summer 2012, Volker Kauder, Voter intention polls, Voter intention surveys
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