Monthly Archives: January 2012

Week Ahead Calendar: 27/01/2012 to 03/02/2012 – Schedules and Optimism

Once again, please find below a list of the eventful days ahead. The main sources are Unicredit’s Weekly Focus, Forex Trading weekly calendar, the EU’s general calendar, the EU’s national issuance calendar and many others,  all of which I advise you to consult directly. I found … Continue reading

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Weekly Bond Yield developments in the Euro Area (W4.2012): Greece Negotiations and Portuguese Yields

In the week that that passed the Euro-Zone economy was marked by an emphasis (of the media and of analysts) on positive data releases, both in Europe and in the USA. On the down side, fruitless Greek PSI negotiations caused … Continue reading

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Oil Market, Exposure to the Middle East & the Saudi Arabia-Iran-US axis

Given the ongoing straight of Hormuz crisis I thought it might be interesting gathering some information. The interest arises from the potential human and economic losses associated with any further escalation. Here I’ll focus on the economic aspect in the … Continue reading

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Leverage and Balance Sheet Management: Reserve Ratios and VaR

Having previously considered how banks intermediate between investors and their investments, FRB and bank runs, and having shown that overlending is likely to be an equilibrium result of the financial market, I now turn my attention to how banks, among … Continue reading

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Market Volatility: with thanks to True Economics

True Economics, has very interesting charts of 3-sigma-plus stock market volatility accross the UK, France, Germany, the US and world stock markets. To argue that the ongoing period of volatility represents a repricing of stock markets, associated with the financial … Continue reading

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Week Ahead Calendar: 20/01/2012 to 27/01/2012 – Schedules and Hopes

Please find below a list of the eventful days ahead. The main sources are Unicredit’s Weekly Focus, Forex Trading weekly calendar, the EU’s national issuance calendar and many others,  all of which I advise you to consult directly. I found Unicredit’s to … Continue reading

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Portuguese Labour Market Reforms: The Table of Contents

The Portuguese Government reached a “Growth, Competitiveness and Employment Compromise” today with social partners (employers and employee organisations). The daily “Sol” made a copy of the text available online, in Portuguese. Labour market reform is extremely important for the recovery … Continue reading

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Euro Update(31): Rating cuts, trade surplus, new orders, SGP and ECB

Rating Cuts So as you must know by now, S&P lowered the sovereign debt rating of 10 Euro-zone countries on January 13. This included France, Austria, Italy and Spain. It will be interesting to see what this will mean for … Continue reading

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Asymmetries of Information, Overlending and the Output gap

I have recently discussed Banking intermediation, FRB and bank-runs in the context of the Diamond 1997 model in line with my effort to understand the banking/financial sector and record some of the knowledge I acquired over the years. When, in … Continue reading

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Euro-Update (30): Markit Surveys, US-Iran tensions & €Z interventions

The web is awash with news reports about regional and world economics. The focus is on the recent Markit Survey results, published in the last 2 days, as well as the US-Iran tensions, bond and forex markets. Here’s my overview. … Continue reading

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