Tag Archives: France

3 Accounts of Euro-Zone Crisis Management

Posted on November 21, 2014 by fmpdea

If you are interested in EU integration and if you’ve been following the Euro-Zone crisis for the last 5 years, then last week would have definitely registered the publication of the following blog post by Peter Spiegel on the FT’s Brussels … Continue reading →

Posted in A € for your Thoughts, ECB, European History, European Integration, European National Politics, Finance, Media Coverage, Sovereign debt Crisis, Visions of the Political Future of Europe | Tagged Deauville, Debt haircut, Discord, Draghi, EFSF, Euro-Zone Crisis Management, European Leadership, France, Geithner, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Matt Persson, OMT, Peter Spiegel, Sovereign debt crisis negotiations, Tony Barber | Leave a comment

3 lessons from the Scottish referendum: the insult, the fear and the pork – where to from here?

Posted on October 17, 2014 by fmpdea

This post could have also been named “How to campaign: confirmation bias, framework effects and the flypaper effect“. But I’m trying to go for a less academic tone these days, so I thought I should at least give the post … Continue reading →

Posted in European Integration, European National Politics, History, Uncategorized, Visions of the Political Future of Europe | Tagged 2014 Scottish Independence Referendum, Aquitaine, Balkanisation of Europe, Brittany, Buying Votes, Catalonia, Confirmation Bias, Corsica, Elite assimilation, fear, Framing Effects, France, HIghland Clearances, Independentism, insult, Irish Potato Famine, Languedoc, Occitanie, Pork Barrel, Portugal, Referendum, Regionalism, Scotland, Scottish Independence, Spain, UK, UK membership of the EU | Leave a comment

2014 European Parliament Election Review – It’s not the end of the world…

Posted on May 28, 2014 by fmpdea

Following last Sunday’s European Parliament election the press has been gloomy and for a time, so was I. This is a quick post to see the forest and the trees and to consider “how much wood can these wood chucks … Continue reading →

Economic Growth and Military Expenditure: R&D, Consumption, Capture – What Future for Europe?

Posted on April 24, 2014 by fmpdea

Before anything else, I want to start by acknowledging the fact that the focus of this article represents a relatively narrow section of what is an enormously interesting, fertile and relevant field of economics with much to contribute to societal welfare and … Continue reading →

Posted in Economic Concepts, European History, European Integration, Political Concepts, Visions of the Political Future of Europe | Tagged Acemoglu et al. (2010), Atomic energy, Barro and Redlick (2011), Bionics, CERN, CFSP, China, Computers, Economies of Scale, European Military Integration, Exoskeletons, Fiscal Multipliers, France, Funding Government Spending, Germany, Ilzetzki et al (2010), Internet, Military Capture, Military coups, Military R&D, Missiles, Patents, Quantum Computing, R&D and Economic Growth, Research and Development, Returns to scale, Robotics, Ruttan (2006), Touchscreens, USA, World Wide Web, WWW | Leave a comment

How Will Europe’s Crisis End? And When?

Posted on September 13, 2013 by fmpdea

This post is based on a report I wrote some time ago about the future of the Euro-Zone crisis. It is divided in four parts: The first offers a recap of the crisis until May 2013. No details as to … Continue reading →

Posted in European Integration, Finance, Risk Scenario Analysis, Sovereign debt Crisis, Uncategorized, Visions of the Political Future of Europe | Tagged Crisis, Cyprus, ECB, EU, Euro-zone, Euro-Zone breakup, European Central Bank, European Fiscal Federalism, European Union, EZ, Fiscal Federalism, France, Future of the Euro-Zone, Germany, Greece, How Will Europe’s Crisis End?, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, Sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Crisis, Sovereign debt Yields, Spain, Stealth Mutualisation, When will the Euro-Zone Crisis end? | Leave a comment

Elections in Europe 2013: Calendar and Voter Intention Surveys – France, Greece, Italy, Austria and Germany

Posted on January 30, 2013 by fmpdea

In the following lines I provide a brief calendar of the relevant elections ahead. Following this, I summarise the likely outcome of these elections in light of the present and past voter intention surveys. Much will change in the next … Continue reading →

Posted in European National Politics | Tagged 2013. Austrian Elections 2013, Beppe Grillo, Berlusconi, Bulgaria, Calendars, CDU, Czech Republic, Der Linke, Elections, FDP, France, Germany, Greece, Hollande, Italy, Lithuania, Merkel, Monti, New Democracy, Papademos, PASOK, Pirate Party, Slovakia, Slovenia, SPD, Voter intention polls, Voter intention surveys | Leave a comment

The European Banking Union Negotiations – Supervision

Posted on December 9, 2012 by fmpdea

The banking union is a particularly important item in the long term reform agenda of the EU/Euro-Zone, and one that has often been neglected. In a crisis that is characterised by the linkages between public finances and the banking sectors, … Continue reading →

Posted in Banking, ECB, European Integration, European Interdependences, Finance, Inflation, Sovereign debt Crisis, Week Ahead | Tagged Banking Union, Denmark, ECB, European Bank Deposit Guarantee, European Bank Deposit Guarantee Scheme, European Banking debt resolution, European Banking Supervision, European Banking Union, European Banking Union Negotiations, Financial Stability, France, Germany, Landesbank, Landesbanken, Price Stability, Scope of supervision, Spain, Sweden, UK, Voting rights | Leave a comment

Divergence in the Euro-Zone: Famous, Obscure and Predictable Facts

Posted on June 26, 2012 by fmpdea

In a previous post about the theory of optimum currency areas (OCA), asymmetric shocks, structural problems and the intrinsic need that this creates for the institution of a fiscal union, I argued that incomplete by monetary unions (i.e.: lacking a … Continue reading →

Posted in Economic Concepts, Euro-zone Update, European Interdependences, Uncategorized | Tagged Divergence, Euro-zone divergence, France, GDP, Germany, Government Bond Yields, Greece, Inflation, Ireland, Portugal, Potential GDP, real Exchange Rate, Spain, ULB, Unemployment, Unit Labour Costs | Leave a comment

Elections in May – Greece & France

Posted on April 29, 2012 by fmpdea

A week away from the French and Greek polls, what is it looking like? Very similar to previous observations…

Posted in Current Events | Tagged Elections, France, French Elections 2012, French Presidential Election 2012, French Presidential elections second round, French voter intention surveys, Greece, Greek May 6 2012 elections, Greek voter intention surveys, Hollande, ND, New Democracy, PASOK, Politics, Sarkozy | Leave a comment

French Presidential Election update: Voter intention Polls on 10 April 2012

Posted on April 10, 2012 by fmpdea

With the first round of the French presidential election looming only 2 weeks away, I thought it would be interesting to have a look at the state of voter intention polls and what they mean for the result of the … Continue reading →

Posted in Current Events | Tagged France, French Legislative Election 2012, French Presidential Election 2012, French voter intention surveys, Hollande, Hollande Presidential Programme 2012, Hollande Sarkozy 2012 Presidential Programme Comparison, Sarkozy, Sarkozy Presidential Programme 2012, Voter intention polls, Voter intention surveys | 1 Comment