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Tag Archives: Italy
How Will Europe’s Crisis End? And When?
This post is based on a report I wrote some time ago about the future of the Euro-Zone crisis. It is divided in four parts: The first offers a recap of the crisis until May 2013. No details as to … Continue reading
Posted in European Integration, Finance, Risk Scenario Analysis, Sovereign debt Crisis, Uncategorized, Visions of the Political Future of Europe
Tagged Crisis, Cyprus, ECB, EU, Euro-zone, Euro-Zone breakup, European Central Bank, European Fiscal Federalism, European Union, EZ, Fiscal Federalism, France, Future of the Euro-Zone, Germany, Greece, How Will Europe’s Crisis End?, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, Sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Crisis, Sovereign debt Yields, Spain, Stealth Mutualisation, When will the Euro-Zone Crisis end?
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Elections in Europe 2013: Calendar and Voter Intention Surveys – France, Greece, Italy, Austria and Germany
In the following lines I provide a brief calendar of the relevant elections ahead. Following this, I summarise the likely outcome of these elections in light of the present and past voter intention surveys. Much will change in the next … Continue reading
Posted in European National Politics
Tagged 2013. Austrian Elections 2013, Beppe Grillo, Berlusconi, Bulgaria, Calendars, CDU, Czech Republic, Der Linke, Elections, FDP, France, Germany, Greece, Hollande, Italy, Lithuania, Merkel, Monti, New Democracy, Papademos, PASOK, Pirate Party, Slovakia, Slovenia, SPD, Voter intention polls, Voter intention surveys
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Revisiting and correcting my comments on Spanish financing conditions – Primary Market Conditions and CDSs
So I noticed I had made some embarrassing mistakes on my post about recent developments in the Spanish Sovereign debt market. However, while looking for an alternative illustration of Spanish woes, and blatantly engaging in confirmation bias, I came across … Continue reading
Posted in Sovereign debt Crisis
Tagged 5 year CDSs, Adjudicated amounts, Ammounts bidded, Bid-to-Cover Ratios, Corrections, Italian CDSs, Italian Credit Default Swaps, Italy, Primary Market for Spanish Sovereign Debt, Solicited amounts, Sovereign debt crisis in Spain April 2012, Sovereign debt crisis in Spain March 2012, Spain, Spain Sovereign Debt Auctions, Spanish CDSs, Spanish Credit Default Swaps
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Weekly Bond Yield developments in the Euro Area (W13.2012): Spain and EFSF/ESM reform – But what about Italy?
Once again, please find below the most recent developments in selected Euro-Zone sovereign bond markets. You may notice that there’s a change from previous versions. For the sake of facilitating the comparison across maturities these are all presented in the … Continue reading
Posted in Weekly Bond Yield developments in the Euro Area
Tagged Bonds, ECB, EFSF, ESM, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Spain
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European Risk Scenario Analysis – Politics, Economics and Social Risks
This post introduces an exercise in Risk Scenario Analysis (RSA), about the future of the Euro-Zone. It introduces the main fragilities in the currency union and discusses them in some detail. The temporal focus of this post is on the … Continue reading
Posted in Risk Scenario Analysis, Sovereign debt Crisis
Tagged Austerity, Berlusconi, ECB, Elections, France, Germany, Greece, Hollande, Interest rates, Italy, Leverage, Liquidity, Liquidity shock, Merkel, Military, Monetary Policy, Monti, PASOK, Police, PS, Reserve ratios, Sarkozy, Social Phase Transitions, Social unrest, SPD, UMP
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Upcoming Elections in Europe (2012 – 2013): Calendar and Voter Intention Surveys (in France, Greece, Italy and Germany)
In the following lines I provide a brief calendar of the relevant elections ahead. Following this I summarise the likely outcome of these elections in light of the present and past voter intention surveys. It seems Europe is looking at … Continue reading
Posted in Risk Scenario Analysis, Uncategorized
Tagged 2012, 2013, Austrian Elections 2013, Beppe Grillo, Berlusconi, Bulgaria, Calendars, CDU, Czech Republic, Der Linke, Elections, FDP, France, Germany, Greece, Hollande, Italy, Lithuania, Merkel, Monti, New Democracy, Papademos, PASOK, Pirate Party, Slovakia, Slovenia, SPD, Voter intention polls, Voter intention surveys
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Weekly Bond Yield developments in the Euro Area (W9.2012): Spanish and Italian bond auctions, LTRO, Greece and Fiscal Compact
Sovereign debt market developments this week were marked by 4 main events: Italy’s successful sovereign bond auction on Monday. Spain’s successful sovereign bond auction on Thursday. Thursday’s LTRO by the ECB. Friday’s Council of the EU meeting. We can see … Continue reading
ECB Market Intervention: The Securities Market Programme (SMP)
Update: As of September 6th, 2012, the SMP was discontinued and the assets held in its accounts were transferred assimilated by the Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT) accounts. For a preliminary assessment of the OMT, please check this blog post. Otherwise, … Continue reading
Posted in Aides Memoire, ECB, Economic Concepts
Tagged Belgium, Debt Monetisation, ECB, EFSF, Fine-tuning Operations, Fixed Term Deposits, Germany, Government Bonds, Government debt, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Monetary Economics, OMO, Open Market Operations, Portugal, Qualitative Easing, Quantitative Easing, Securities Market Programme, SMP, Sovereign bonds, Sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Crisis, Spain, Stabilisation, Sterilisation, Sterilised Debt Monetisation
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Week ahead Calendar: 27/02/2012 to 01/03/2012: M3, Italian and Spanish bond auctions, LTRO and CPI
Once again, please find below a list of the eventful days ahead. The main sources are Unicredit’s Weekly Focus, Forex Trading weekly calendar, the EU’s general calendar, the EU’s national issuance calendar and many others, all of which I advise you to consult directly. I found Unicredit’s … Continue reading
Posted in Week Ahead
Tagged CPI, ECB, Inflation, Italy, LTRO, M3, Monetary base, Spain
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Place du Luxembourg 
News Round up and Comment – 09/03/2012
11 interesting news trends today: Greece seems to have achieved a 95.7% participation rate in the public debt PSI. This means that 95.7% of the total (€206 Bn) privately held Greek public debt will suffer a haircut of 53% and … Continue reading →