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Tag Archives: Ireland
How Will Europe’s Crisis End? And When?
This post is based on a report I wrote some time ago about the future of the Euro-Zone crisis. It is divided in four parts: The first offers a recap of the crisis until May 2013. No details as to … Continue reading
Posted in European Integration, Finance, Risk Scenario Analysis, Sovereign debt Crisis, Uncategorized, Visions of the Political Future of Europe
Tagged Crisis, Cyprus, ECB, EU, Euro-zone, Euro-Zone breakup, European Central Bank, European Fiscal Federalism, European Union, EZ, Fiscal Federalism, France, Future of the Euro-Zone, Germany, Greece, How Will Europe’s Crisis End?, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, Sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Crisis, Sovereign debt Yields, Spain, Stealth Mutualisation, When will the Euro-Zone Crisis end?
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Divergence in the Euro-Zone: Famous, Obscure and Predictable Facts
In a previous post about the theory of optimum currency areas (OCA), asymmetric shocks, structural problems and the intrinsic need that this creates for the institution of a fiscal union, I argued that incomplete by monetary unions (i.e.: lacking a … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Concepts, Euro-zone Update, European Interdependences, Uncategorized
Tagged Divergence, Euro-zone divergence, France, GDP, Germany, Government Bond Yields, Greece, Inflation, Ireland, Portugal, Potential GDP, real Exchange Rate, Spain, ULB, Unemployment, Unit Labour Costs
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Weekly Bond Yield developments in the Euro Area (W13.2012): Spain and EFSF/ESM reform – But what about Italy?
Once again, please find below the most recent developments in selected Euro-Zone sovereign bond markets. You may notice that there’s a change from previous versions. For the sake of facilitating the comparison across maturities these are all presented in the … Continue reading
Posted in Weekly Bond Yield developments in the Euro Area
Tagged Bonds, ECB, EFSF, ESM, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Spain
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ECB Market Intervention: The Securities Market Programme (SMP)
Update: As of September 6th, 2012, the SMP was discontinued and the assets held in its accounts were transferred assimilated by the Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT) accounts. For a preliminary assessment of the OMT, please check this blog post. Otherwise, … Continue reading
Posted in Aides Memoire, ECB, Economic Concepts
Tagged Belgium, Debt Monetisation, ECB, EFSF, Fine-tuning Operations, Fixed Term Deposits, Germany, Government Bonds, Government debt, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Monetary Economics, OMO, Open Market Operations, Portugal, Qualitative Easing, Quantitative Easing, Securities Market Programme, SMP, Sovereign bonds, Sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Crisis, Spain, Stabilisation, Sterilisation, Sterilised Debt Monetisation
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Weekly Bond Yield developments in the Euro Area (W8.2012): SMP, Greek bailout, PMIs,noise, forecasts and Italian Debt auctions
Sovereign debt market developments this week were marked by 6 main events: The ECB’s first week without purchases under the SMP (on Monday) The achievement of a deal for the second bailout package for Greece, between Monday and Tuesday The … Continue reading
Weekly Bond Yield developments in the Euro Area (W4.2012): Greece Negotiations and Portuguese Yields
In the week that that passed the Euro-Zone economy was marked by an emphasis (of the media and of analysts) on positive data releases, both in Europe and in the USA. On the down side, fruitless Greek PSI negotiations caused … Continue reading
Accommodating the ECB and the Democratic Costs of Intergovernmentalism
This post offers a short note clarifying the dynamics of the asymmetric relationship between the ECB and the governments of the Euro-area, its disparity with the USA and the UK and how this explains the lip service that is being … Continue reading
The latest Franco-German Agreement: Is it enough?
So France and Germany reached what was hailed as yet another “comprehensive agreement” on the reform of the Eurozone fiscal policies. In my opinion this wasn’t that comprehensive an agreement. It was only the last of such several steps since … Continue reading
Posted in Current Events, ECB, Euro-zone Update, European Integration, Sovereign debt Crisis, Uncategorized, Weekly Bond Yield developments in the Euro Area
Tagged ECB, EFSF, EMS, European Fiscal Federalism, European Integration, France, Germany, Greece, Intergovernmentalism, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, Sovereign Debt Crisis, Spain
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The end (of the crisis) is nigh! – On treaty change and Lenders of Last Resort
Another week and another bout of hysteria, as banks warn about the risk of a Euro-breakup due to the upcoming banking crisis. May be that’s to over do it, but clearly it increases the ever unquantifiable risk of that happening. … Continue reading
Posted in Current Events, ECB
Tagged Banking crisis, Community Method, debt repurchases, ECB, France, Germany, Greece, Intergovernmentalism, Ireland, Italy, Monetary Economics, Portugal, Sovereign Debt Crisis, Spain
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