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Tag Archives: Sovereign Debt Crisis
How Will Europe’s Crisis End? And When?
This post is based on a report I wrote some time ago about the future of the Euro-Zone crisis. It is divided in four parts: The first offers a recap of the crisis until May 2013. No details as to … Continue reading
Posted in European Integration, Finance, Risk Scenario Analysis, Sovereign debt Crisis, Uncategorized, Visions of the Political Future of Europe
Tagged Crisis, Cyprus, ECB, EU, Euro-zone, Euro-Zone breakup, European Central Bank, European Fiscal Federalism, European Union, EZ, Fiscal Federalism, France, Future of the Euro-Zone, Germany, Greece, How Will Europe’s Crisis End?, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, Sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Crisis, Sovereign debt Yields, Spain, Stealth Mutualisation, When will the Euro-Zone Crisis end?
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ECB Market Intervention: The Securities Market Programme (SMP)
Update: As of September 6th, 2012, the SMP was discontinued and the assets held in its accounts were transferred assimilated by the Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT) accounts. For a preliminary assessment of the OMT, please check this blog post. Otherwise, … Continue reading
Posted in Aides Memoire, ECB, Economic Concepts
Tagged Belgium, Debt Monetisation, ECB, EFSF, Fine-tuning Operations, Fixed Term Deposits, Germany, Government Bonds, Government debt, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Monetary Economics, OMO, Open Market Operations, Portugal, Qualitative Easing, Quantitative Easing, Securities Market Programme, SMP, Sovereign bonds, Sovereign debt, Sovereign Debt Crisis, Spain, Stabilisation, Sterilisation, Sterilised Debt Monetisation
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Weekly Bond Yield developments in the Euro Area (W8.2012): SMP, Greek bailout, PMIs,noise, forecasts and Italian Debt auctions
Sovereign debt market developments this week were marked by 6 main events: The ECB’s first week without purchases under the SMP (on Monday) The achievement of a deal for the second bailout package for Greece, between Monday and Tuesday The … Continue reading
ECB: Monetary Policy Transmission – Interest Rate Channel System, Reserves & the Interbanking Market
Having looked at the tools available to the ECB and at its balance sheet, after considering financial market failures due to Fractional Reserve Banking, overlending and VaR, I would like to turn my attention to the actual operation of monetary … Continue reading
Posted in Aides Memoire, Banking, ECB
Tagged Aides Memoire, Banking, Banking crisis, CDS, Collateral, Counter-party risk, Debt auctions, debt repurchases, Deposit Facility, ECB, EONIA, EUREPO, EURIBOR, interbanking, interbanking rates, intermediation, Liquidity Risk, LTROs, Marginal Lending Facility, Maturity, MRO, OIS, Overnight Index Swap, Reserve Base, Reserve Ratio, Reserve requirements, Reserves, Risk free interest rate, Sovereign Debt Crisis, Term Premium, Term Spread, Yield curve
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ECB Balance Sheet: Composition, Scope and Limits
Having considered some of the inner workings of how commercial and investment banking works from the point of view of (1)Banking intermediation, Fractional Reserve Banking and Bank runs, (2) Asymmetries of Information, Overlending and the Output gap, and (3) Leverage … Continue reading
Posted in ECB
Tagged Assets, Balance Sheet, Buiter, CBPP, Debt Monetisation, ECB, ECB Balance Sheet, exchange rate crisis, hyperinflation, Liabilities, seignoreage, SMP, Sovereign Debt Crisis
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Week Ahead Calendar: 27/01/2012 to 03/02/2012 – Schedules and Optimism
Once again, please find below a list of the eventful days ahead. The main sources are Unicredit’s Weekly Focus, Forex Trading weekly calendar, the EU’s general calendar, the EU’s national issuance calendar and many others, all of which I advise you to consult directly. I found … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized, Week Ahead
Tagged Debt auctions, EU Council, EU Council Meetings, France, Germany, Greece, Inflation, Italy, Labour Market, Sovereign Debt Crisis, Spain
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Weekly Bond Yield developments in the Euro Area (W4.2012): Greece Negotiations and Portuguese Yields
In the week that that passed the Euro-Zone economy was marked by an emphasis (of the media and of analysts) on positive data releases, both in Europe and in the USA. On the down side, fruitless Greek PSI negotiations caused … Continue reading
Market Volatility: with thanks to True Economics
True Economics, has very interesting charts of 3-sigma-plus stock market volatility accross the UK, France, Germany, the US and world stock markets. To argue that the ongoing period of volatility represents a repricing of stock markets, associated with the financial … Continue reading
Portuguese Labour Market Reforms: The Table of Contents
The Portuguese Government reached a “Growth, Competitiveness and Employment Compromise” today with social partners (employers and employee organisations). The daily “Sol” made a copy of the text available online, in Portuguese. Labour market reform is extremely important for the recovery … Continue reading
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